Reform UK Poised to Dominate in Hypothetical Election, Poll Shocks Westminste

A seismic shift in British politics is unfolding as a new YouGov Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) poll, published on June 26, 2025, projects Nigel Farage’s Reform UK as the largest party in Parliament if a general election were held today. The poll, conducted with advanced modeling techniques, predicts Reform UK would secure 271 seats, surpassing both Labour and the Conservatives, though falling short of the 326 needed for an outright majority. This development marks a dramatic reconfiguration of the political landscape, reflecting growing voter disillusionment with the established parties and highlighting issues like immigration as key drivers of change.

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